LightCounting is a world-leading market research company dedicated to market research in the field of optical networks. During MWC2023, LightCounting founder and CEO Vladimir Kozlov shared his views on the evolution trend of fixed networks to the industry and industry.
Compared with wireless broadband, the speed development of wired broadband is still lagging behind. Therefore, as the wireless connection rate increases, the fiber broadband rate also needs to be further upgraded. In addition, the optical network is more economical and energy-saving. From a long-term perspective, the optical network solution can better realize massive data transmission, meet the digital operation of industrial customers, and the high-definition video calls of ordinary customers. Although the mobile network is a good supplement, which can fully improve the network mobility, I think that the fiber connection can provide greater bandwidth and be more energy efficient, so we need to upgrade the existing network architecture.
I think network connection is the most important. With the development of digital operations, robots are gradually replacing manual operations. This is also a breakthrough point for the industry to achieve technological innovation and economic development. On the one hand, this is one of the goals of the 5G initiative, and on the other hand, it is also the key to revenue growth for operators. In fact, operators are racking their brains to increase revenue. Last year, the revenue growth of Chinese operators was considerable. European operators are also trying to find ways to increase revenue, and the optical network solution will undoubtedly win the favor of European operators, which is also true in North America.
Although I am not an expert in the field of wireless infrastructure, I can foresee the improvement and development of massive MIMO, the number of network elements is increasing by hundreds, and millimeter wave and even 6G transmission can be realized through thicker virtual pipes. However, these solutions also face many challenges. First, the energy consumption of the network should not be too high;
During the 2023 Green All-Optical Network Forum, Huawei and many other companies introduced their high-speed optical transmission technology, with a transmission rate of up to 1.2Tbps, or even 1.6Tbps, which has reached the upper limit of the transmission rate. Therefore, our next innovation direction is to develop optical fibers that support greater bandwidth. Currently, we are transitioning from the C-band to the C++ band. Next, we will develop to the L-band and explore various new routes to meet the ever-increasing traffic demand.
I think the current network standards match the needs of the network, and the current standards match the speed of industry development. In the past, the high cost of optical fiber hindered the development of optical networks, but with the continuous efforts of equipment manufacturers, the cost of 10G PON and other networks has been significantly reduced. At the same time, the deployment of optical networks is also increasing significantly. Therefore, I think that with the increase in the deployment of optical networks in Europe and North America, the global optical network market will continue to develop, and at the same time promote the further reduction of optical fiber costs and achieve another leap in deployment.
It is recommended that everyone maintain confidence in the evolution of fixed networks, because we have found that operators often do not know the extent to which bandwidth can be developed. This is also reasonable. After all, ten years ago, no one knew what new technologies would appear in the future. But looking back at the history of the industry, we find that there are always new applications that require more bandwidth than expected. Therefore, I think operators should have full confidence in the future. To some extent, the 2023 Green All-Optical Network Forum is a good practice. This forum not only introduced the higher bandwidth requirements of new applications, but also discussed some use cases that need to achieve tenfold growth. Therefore, I think operators should realize this, although it may bring some pressure to everyone, but we must do a good job in planning. Because throughout history, practice has proved time and time again that in the next 10 or even 5 years, it is completely feasible to achieve a 10-fold increase in fixed-line networks. So, you have to be confident
Post time: Apr-28-2023